AC Milan vs Marseille Preview 25/11/2009 Champions League - Group C

There were twists, turns, tension, referee mistakes, defense mistakes and in the end the game ended 4:3. But defense is still doubtful; a stronger team would have punished those mistakes

AC Milan vs Marseille Preview 25/11/2009 Champions League - Group C

Milan are on top in the group, that is to say they are sharing the first position with Real. Anyway, they have the upper hand if they end up level on points, because of the better score in head-to-head games. The clash against Marseille will be a match point for Milan, because if they win the knockout stage is guaranteed. They are doing better lately, playing with more self-confidence; they won at Velodrome so they will start this match as favourites. The French have won both matches against Zurivh the draw wasn’t so favourable, but they still have a chance and they will play to win. Even with a draw their chances are minimal, especially because they are hosting Madrid in the last round and nothing will be up to them.

Milan played a thrilling affair with Cagliari

There were twists, turns, tension, referee mistakes, defense mistakes and in the end the game ended 4:3. But defense is still doubtful; a stronger team would have punished those mistakes. Leonardo can relieve as Nesta is back and the back line seems more stable with him. Milan haven’t yet won at home in the Champions League; Zurich beat them and they drew with Real, but made up for dropped points in away games. The Brazilian won’t make any calculations; he will go ahead with Boriello again even though he is not fully fit. Clearly, his presence and the fact that this typical striker means a lot can relieve some pressure of Pato and Ronaldinho. Inzaghi was the end of Marseille in the first leg, but Super Pippo will wait for his chance on the bench.

Offensive Marseille

Their boss Didier Deschamps knows Milan and Italian football very well, as he played for Juventus for one season. His team arrives intending to match Milan in every aspect of the game. Lucho Gonzalez is back, the forwards are faster than Milan’s defense and if the back line manages to isolate the trio Pato-Ronaldinho-Boriello, the French will stand a chance. They lost in Madrid but held on to the second half. The problem is that Real will beat Zurich and even a draw will leave Marseille on third place so they must win Real and hope for Milan’s failure. Too many things should coincide. Anyway, they have complete squad at disposal and the announced line-up suggests that they have no intention of defending. The main battle will be lead in the midfield; Milan did surprise them at Velodrome but Marseille missed their chances. They will have to improve their materialization, which is a problem for all French teams.

Betting verdict

This smells like a surprise and we are not sure that rossoneri are so big favourites as the odds imply, Marseille are definitely much better than Zurich and most of Milanese’s rivals lately. A small bet on Marseille with +0.5 handicap (double chance on Marseille) is what we suggest.

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Our tip: Bet 5 on Double chance X2
Odds 10/11 at
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